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The Wide Lens
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The Fed Pivot. It's The Vibe.
The time has come for policy to adjust. The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming...
Robert Baharian
Aug 26, 20243 min read


What Decline? What Recession?
A few weeks ago I wrote about the market decline and why I thought we had a little more to go. Turns out I was right - not to brag....
Robert Baharian
Aug 19, 20242 min read


The End of The World
Perspective is so important, yet it's not easy. We get so caught up in our own world that it's hard to see the forest for the trees. Last...
Robert Baharian
Aug 5, 20241 min read


Common Uncommons
The Paris 2024 Summer Olympics kicked off over the weekend, and markets we're in a celebratory mood. The S&P 500 clawed back some of its...
Robert Baharian
Jul 29, 20241 min read


What Bali Taught me About Investing
I spent the school holidays in Bali with my family. We travelled through Sanur, Uluwatu, Ubud, and Canggu. We'd never been to Uluwatu...
Robert Baharian
Jul 22, 20242 min read


The Agony and the Ecstasy
I started investing just after the dot com bust, right through the commodity boom. I was buying individual stocks and names, mining...
Robert Baharian
Jun 17, 20242 min read


The Current State of The Market in 5 Charts
I've been thinking a lot about markets lately, the cross currents, the outlook, the implications, the opportunities. I feel as though the...
Robert Baharian
Jun 11, 20243 min read


The Days Are Long, The Years Are Short
I remember coming home after work to a house of chaos. Lego all over the floor, washing still sitting in the basket, dishes piled up in...
Robert Baharian
Jun 3, 20245 min read


Here's Where Interest Rates Are Headed
Over the last 50 years, the average months between peak interest rates in Australia and rate cuts is about 10 months. The shortest...
Robert Baharian
May 27, 20241 min read


Don't do Something, Just Stand There
My wife and I stood at the foot of the mountain, faced with several paths to choose from. It wasn’t the pathway that mattered, but the...
Robert Baharian
May 20, 20243 min read


Sell in May and Go Away?
There is an old stock market adage that states that every year one should “sell in May and go away”, not reinvesting in equities until...
Robert Baharian
May 13, 20242 min read


The Financial Market's Handbook
I've been writing lately about the volatility in financial markets. In this week's release of our Financial Markets Handbook, the...
Robert Baharian
May 6, 20243 min read


Extreme Optimism to Extreme Pessimism
Just like Melbourne weather, the stock and financial markets can and do change really quickly. Last week I talked about investor...
Robert Baharian
Apr 29, 20242 min read


Higher Rates. Just Like Everyone Predicted.
Most of us are terrible market forecasters. Even more of us won't admit it. Ego is a massive thing in life - let alone in the financial...
Robert Baharian
Apr 22, 20243 min read


The Commercial Real Estate Crash
We've been hearing about it for a while now. By 2024, the commercial real estate market was supposed to crash and bring down the entire...
Robert Baharian
Apr 15, 20243 min read


The Best 100 Days for a Long Time
I’m on a plane right now as I write this note. It’s Easter Sunday as we fly across the country to Western Australia. It’s the first week...
Robert Baharian
Apr 2, 20244 min read


A Great Year Ahead?
Happy 50th - trading days that is. Last week we clicked over 50 trading days for the year. And the stock market is up +8.3% year to date....
Robert Baharian
Mar 18, 20242 min read


15 Years in The Making
My son scored his first goal at his futsal training game over the weekend. And boy was he happy! He's been playing soccer for about 9...
Robert Baharian
Mar 12, 20242 min read


Here's What's Next for the Mag-7 & AI
I watched the BlackBerry movie over the weekend. If you haven't seen it, I highly recommend it - a fascinating film that explores the...
Robert Baharian
Mar 4, 20244 min read


All Time Highs Are Historically Bullish
Markets are at all-time highs (ATHs). The economy is in good shape. Investor portfolios are ticking along nicely. The most common...
Robert Baharian
Feb 28, 20242 min read
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